Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:50:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec11…953f
sports · 62 markets active 0h ago
7.5score
+$2,449 +39%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,527 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized+$2,527
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses34 / 24
Est. fees paid−$82
Open positions1
Markets (closed)58 / 62
History coverage3d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day39.6
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,625
7 days+$2,527
14 days+$2,527
30 days+$2,527
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zhang Magdalena Frech 55¢ 54¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Darja Vidmanova 44¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 34¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Alex Bolt 41¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Dino Prizmic 62¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Felix Auger-Aliassime 48¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Tristan Boyer 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Federico Bondioli 56¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth James Duckworth 40¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $225 $0 −$225 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng Jun 14 $240 +$68 +28%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $102 +$116 +114%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $20 +$3 +14%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 14 $333 +$351 +106%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $153 +$339 +222%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $89 +$229 +257%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $101 +$46 +46%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $425 +$353 +83%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $51 +$33 +66%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $404 +$214 +53%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $51 −$50 -99%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $72 +$183 +254%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $51 −$50 -99%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $41 +$32 +78%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $173 +$205 +119%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $51 −$27 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $34 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$18 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $191 +$42 +22%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $71 −$70 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $124 +$85 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $71 −$70 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $575 +$637 +111%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $30 +$34 +112%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $133 +$110 +83%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $228 −$225 -99%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $61 −$60 -99%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $213 −$10 -5%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$19 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$13 -65%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $101 +$53 +52%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $56 −$26 -47%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $51 +$44 +86%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $30 +$24 +79%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $51 +$33 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $51 +$101 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $51 −$50 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $101 +$91 +89%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $174 +$169 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $53 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$4 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% +$1,825
other 15% +$518
crypto 10% +$182
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng SELL Michael Zheng 51¢ $308 0m
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 36¢ $37 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 36¢ $51 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 29¢ $51 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 50¢ $102 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Alex Bolt 41¢ $31 2h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zha BUY Magdalena Frech 55¢ $51 4h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 32¢ $23 12h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $102 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 SELL Under 99¢ $684 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Under 39¢ $102 13h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Under 36¢ $29 13h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $20 13h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Under 56¢ $203 14h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 99¢ $492 14h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 22¢ $51 16h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $102 17h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $318 17h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $51 19h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 68¢ $101 19h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $38 20h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Qatar 99¢ $539 20h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 23¢ $61 22h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 25¢ $9 22h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $102 22h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 59¢ $239 22h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa SELL Katarzyna Kawa 99¢ $84 22h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $253 23h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 59¢ $51 23h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic SELL Emma Raducanu 99¢ $619 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 +31.4% +18.9% 59% 57% +29.5%
≤30d 58 +31.4% +18.9% 59% 57% +29.5%
≤90d 58 +31.4% +18.9% 59% 57% +29.5%
all 58 +31.4% +18.9% 59% 57% +29.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +18.9% 57% +29.5%
10% ← realistic here +7.5% 53% +17.1%
15% -2.9% 50% +5.8%
20% -12.4% 47% -4.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.64 · official $48.64 (match) · 145 history records