trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 20% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -19.6% | -27.3% | 22% | 11% | -13.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -19.6% | -27.3% | 22% | 11% | -13.9% |
| all | 9 | -19.6% | -27.3% | 22% | 11% | -13.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.3% | 11% | -13.9% |
| 10% | -34.3% | 11% | -22.1% |
| 15% | -40.6% | 11% | -29.6% |
| 20% | -46.4% | 0% | -36.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Borova by June 30? | Jun 20 | $317 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $315 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA | Jun 20 | $49 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? | Jun 19 | $316 | $0 | +0% |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $317 | −$1 | -0% |
| Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5) | Jun 10 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? | Jun 10 | $57 | +$29 | +50% |
| Spread: Moldova (-1.5) | Jun 09 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? | Jun 09 | $61 | −$15 | -25% |