trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 100% | 0% | -3.4% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +66.9% | +51.0% | 100% | 70% | +37.0% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +66.9% | +51.0% | 100% | 70% | +37.0% |
| all | 10 | +66.9% | +51.0% | 100% | 70% | +37.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +51.0% | 70% | +37.0% |
| 10% | +36.6% | 60% | +23.9% |
| 15% | +23.4% | 50% | +11.9% |
| 20% | +11.3% | 40% | +1.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $136 | $135 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $68 | $67 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 20 | $136 | +$9 | +7% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $37 | +$23 | +62% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 11 | $56 | +$21 | +38% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 11 | $80 | +$43 | +54% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 08 | $97 | +$5 | +5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Jun 08 | $200 | +$33 | +16% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $70 | +$279 | +398% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 29 | $113 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | May 25 | $94 | +$58 | +62% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 25 | $72 | +$18 | +25% |