Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:52:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec27…c764
sports · 1074 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$56 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$68
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses654 / 412
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1066 / 1074
History coverage92d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day20.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 8 History 1066 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 18¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $1 +$2 +172%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $1 +$5 +441%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +53%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +123%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $2 $0 -7%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $2 +$1 +27%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $1 +$2 +188%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 06 $2 −$1 -28%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 03 $1 +$1 +136%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $3 $0 +16%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca May 31 $1 +$1 +136%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev May 31 $1 +$1 +103%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $2 $0 +24%
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wang May 31 $2 $0 +21%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $1 +$1 +126%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima May 31 $2 +$1 +34%
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova May 31 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe May 31 $2 +$1 +57%
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 30 $1 $0 +42%
Roland Garros WTA: Solana Sierra vs Sorana Cirstea May 29 $2 +$1 +32%
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev May 29 $1 $0 +36%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $1 +$1 +63%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertens May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi May 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima May 28 $1 $0 +42%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga May 28 $2 +$1 +40%
Roland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys May 28 $3 $0 +16%
Roland Garros WTA: Julia Grabher vs Amanda Anisimova May 28 $3 +$1 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% −$19
other 19% −$45
culture 1% +$2
politics 1% −$2
world 0% −$1
crypto 0% −$2
tech 0% $0
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $1 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 15h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 100¢ $3 16h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 16h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 16h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 60¢ $2 20h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $1 22h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $1 22h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 22h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 42¢ $1 3d
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 5d
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 5d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $1 5d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 50¢ $1 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $1 7d
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 7d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Flavio Cobolli 22¢ $1 7d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 54¢ $1 7d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights SELL Golden Knights 93¢ $2 7d
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 7d
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva SELL Mirra Andreeva 100¢ $3 8d
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri BUY Yes 51¢ $1 8d
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 100¢ $3 8d
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Mirra Andreeva 78¢ $2 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli BUY Flavio Cobolli 69¢ $2 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev BUY Jakub Mensik 24¢ $1 9d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 49¢ $1 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -2.1% -11.4% 36% 36% -17.1%
≤30d 121 +5.3% -4.7% 56% 55% -6.9%
≤90d 998 -5.4% -14.4% 62% 54% -12.6%
all 1066 -5.6% -14.6% 61% 53% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 53% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 40% -21.1%
15% -30.2% 28% -28.7%
20% -37.1% 17% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.28 · official $7.28 (match) · 2324 history records