trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 19 | -16.5% | -24.4% | 11% | 11% | -80.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -24.4% | 11% | -80.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -31.7% | 11% | -81.9% |
| 15% | -38.3% | 11% | -83.6% |
| 20% | -44.3% | 11% | -85.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 12¢ | 24¢ | $1,000 | $2,020 | +$1,020 (+102%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $1,000 | $995 | −$5 (-0%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $1,000 | $995 | −$5 (-0%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $1,000 | $989 | −$11 (-1%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1,000 | $974 | −$26 (-3%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1,000 | $900 | −$100 (-10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns vs. Spurs | Feb 20 | $12,720 | −$12,720 | -100% |
| Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels | Feb 19 | $1,100 | −$1,100 | -100% |
| Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys | Feb 19 | $2,000 | −$2,000 | -100% |
| Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears | Feb 19 | $1,688 | −$1,688 | -100% |
| Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Feb 19 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Feb 19 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Feb 19 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 19 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 19 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Lafayette Leopards vs. Holy Cross Crusaders | Feb 19 | $1,000 | +$11,542 | +1154% |
| Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Feb 19 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-18? | Feb 18 | $8,000 | −$8,000 | -100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Feb 18 | $5,250 | −$3,763 | -72% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | Feb 07 | $18,573 | −$18,336 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | Feb 05 | $7,000 | −$6,981 | -100% |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance | Feb 04 | $4,199 | −$4,199 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 04 | $2,580 | +$3,420 | +133% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Feb 02 | $32,911 | −$32,202 | -98% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me | Jan 31 | $2,000 | $0 | -0% |