trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -40.9% | -46.6% | 17% | 17% | -53.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -40.9% | -46.6% | 17% | 17% | -53.5% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -40.9% | -46.6% | 17% | 17% | -53.5% |
| all | 9 | -30.3% | -37.0% | 22% | 11% | -43.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.0% | 11% | -43.6% |
| 10% | -43.0% | 11% | -49.0% |
| 15% | -48.5% | 11% | -53.9% |
| 20% | -53.6% | 11% | -58.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 5+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 16¢ | $97 | $125 | +$28 (+29%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | $40 | $61 | +$21 (+51%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$21 | +70% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $61 | −$60 | -99% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$15 | -76% |
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$1 | -36% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 18? | Jun 13 | $6 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 16? | Jan 16 | $10 | −$3 | -27% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 18? | Jan 16 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 12? | Jan 11 | $15 | $0 | +0% |