Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec5c…c718
crypto · 360 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$33 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open −$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$16
Realized−$14
Unrealized−$19
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses148 / 210
Open positions2
Markets (closed)358 / 360
Avg bet$6
Trades / day71.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 358 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$86
7 days−$89
14 days−$7
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? Yes 41¢ 25¢ $15 $9 −$6 (-39%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Yes 57¢ 20¢ $20 $7 −$13 (-66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$67
weather 8% +$51
other 3% −$14
world 1% +$10
finance 1% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 269 -17.1% -25.0% 38% 35% -15.4%
≤30d 358 -12.3% -20.7% 41% 35% -10.2%
≤90d 358 -12.3% -20.7% 41% 35% -10.2%
all 358 -12.3% -20.7% 41% 35% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover71.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.7% 35% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -28.3% 31% -18.8%
15% -35.2% 28% -26.6%
20% -41.5% 24% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.99 · official $15.99 (match) · 1656 history records