Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:58:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec5c…2ecc
crypto · 1684 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$180 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$386 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$386
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses633 / 569
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1202 / 1684
History coverage24d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day80.8
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 1202 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$40
7 days+$74
14 days+$243
30 days+$386
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+156%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 41¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 28¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+259%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +47%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$5 +414%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$446
other 10% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $3 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 32m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 34m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $3 44m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 45m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $2 48m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 367 +19.9% +8.5% 55% 53% +3.5%
≤30d 1202 +22.5% +10.9% 53% 52% +8.9%
≤90d 1202 +22.5% +10.9% 53% 52% +8.9%
all 1202 +22.5% +10.9% 53% 52% +8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.9% 52% +8.9%
10% ← realistic here +0.2% 51% -1.5%
15% -9.4% 50% -11.1%
20% -18.3% 48% -19.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.24 · official $7.34 (match) · 3500 history records