trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +105.1% | +85.6% | 100% | 100% | +85.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +109.5% | +89.6% | 100% | 100% | +88.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +27.2% | +15.1% | 100% | 36% | +52.8% |
| all | 16 | +18.8% | +7.5% | 100% | 25% | +48.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +7.5% | 25% | +48.6% |
| 10% | -2.8% | 25% | +34.4% |
| 15% | -12.2% | 19% | +21.4% |
| 20% | -20.8% | 12% | +9.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $324 | +$340 | +105% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $176 | +$200 | +114% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $87 | +$40 | +46% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 20 | $310 | +$90 | +29% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Apr 18 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February? | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Apr 18 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Apr 18 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Apr 18 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)? | Apr 18 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 20 | Feb 02 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 02 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $0.00 end of January? | Feb 02 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.60 on January 10? | Jan 13 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition | Jan 08 | $17 | $0 | +0% |