Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:45:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec5e…32c9
crypto · 60 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$15 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized+$11
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses36 / 21
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)57 / 60
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day54.2
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 87¢ 82¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-5%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? No 68¢ 78¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$6 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% +$11
world 10% −$1
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY No 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 8h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 78¢ $3 9h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Swed BUY 6¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +9.7% -0.7% 63% 54% -1.3%
≤30d 57 +9.7% -0.7% 63% 54% -1.3%
≤90d 57 +9.7% -0.7% 63% 54% -1.3%
all 57 +9.7% -0.7% 63% 54% -1.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.7% 54% -1.3%
10% ← realistic here -10.2% 49% -10.7%
15% -18.9% 37% -19.3%
20% -26.9% 32% -27.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.57 · official $13.57 (match) · 170 history records