trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +26.7% | +14.6% | 100% | 100% | +12.2% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -25.8% | -32.9% | 50% | 50% | -30.1% |
| ≤90d | 109 | +8.7% | -1.7% | 55% | 49% | -17.0% |
| all | 110 | +8.8% | -1.5% | 55% | 49% | -16.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.5% | 49% | -16.8% |
| 10% | -11.0% | 41% | -24.8% |
| 15% | -19.6% | 37% | -32.0% |
| 20% | -27.5% | 28% | -38.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 91¢ | 90¢ | $116 | $115 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $96 | $97 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 7¢ | $101 | $54 | −$47 (-46%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain leading at halftime? | Jun 21 | $71 | +$29 | +41% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $101 | +$12 | +12% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $622 | −$522 | -84% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $540 | +$69 | +13% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $94 | −$94 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $71 | +$13 | +18% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 09 | $213 | +$157 | +74% |
| Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $51 | −$32 | -62% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $93 | +$17 | +18% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $230 | −$230 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $178 | −$177 | -100% |
| Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks | Jun 02 | $95 | −$95 | -100% |
| Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks | May 31 | $204 | +$111 | +54% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions | May 28 | $197 | +$202 | +102% |
| Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions | May 23 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 22 | $55 | −$54 | -99% |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks | May 22 | $50 | +$144 | +288% |
| Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions | May 21 | $48 | +$52 | +108% |
| Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducks | May 15 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers | May 12 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $36 | +$4 | +10% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | May 09 | $34 | +$66 | +194% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $9 | −$8 | -87% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 08 | $24 | −$23 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 05 | $29 | −$28 | -98% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 30 | $67 | −$67 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 28 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 24 | $76 | −$75 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 23 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 23 | $40 | −$35 | -88% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $34 | +$66 | +194% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 22 | $50 | +$100 | +203% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $30 | +$262 | +873% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 21 | $334 | −$334 | -100% |
| Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | Apr 20 | $359 | −$359 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 19 | $217 | −$203 | -93% |
| Shenzhen Leopards vs. Ningbo Rockets | Apr 17 | $346 | +$100 | +29% |
| Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian Sturgeons | Apr 17 | $322 | +$138 | +43% |
| BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan | Apr 16 | $44 | +$24 | +54% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 16 | $777 | −$777 | -100% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Apr 16 | $163 | +$136 | +83% |
| Toronto FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5 | Apr 16 | $38 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 15? | Apr 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 15? | Apr 16 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 15? | Apr 16 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 15? | Apr 15 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 15? | Apr 15 | $22 | +$70 | +312% |