Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec69…6fba
sports · 283 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$99,708 -54%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$98,227 · open −$1,419
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,849
Realized−$98,227
Unrealized−$1,419
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses194 / 472
Whale WR (big bets)35%
Est. fees paid−$2,048
Open positions11
Markets (closed)666 / 283
History coverage14d
Avg bet$657
Trades / day215.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 11 History 666 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$92,875
7 days−$95,392
14 days−$98,227
30 days−$98,227
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 38¢ 38¢ $569 $583 +$13 (+2%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 80¢ 88¢ $482 $525 +$43 (+9%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 54¢ 100¢ $208 $380 +$172 (+83%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 45¢ 49¢ $162 $176 +$14 (+9%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 80¢ 79¢ $176 $174 −$2 (-1%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Alicia Dudeney 33¢ 40¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+23%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Lulu Sun 34¢ 0¢ $756 $1 −$755 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 57¢ 0¢ $553 $0 −$553 (-100%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Arthur Gea 56¢ 0¢ $284 $0 −$283 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 32¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 31¢ 0¢ $221 $0 −$221 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 48¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Royal Challengers Bangalore 57¢ 0¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season VfB eSports 19¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 63¢ 0¢ $1,210 $0 −$1,210 (-100%)
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage NRG Academy 93¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Kody Pearson Yi Zhou 20¢ 0¢ $235 $0 −$235 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs Fnatic 36¢ 0¢ $426 $0 −$426 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group A Hashiras 52¢ 0¢ $241 $0 −$241 (-100%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Casper Ruud 75¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tu Li Tu 81¢ 0¢ $993 $0 −$993 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A NRG 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Jun 12 $83 −$76 -92%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Jun 12 $212 −$505 -239%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $18 +$1 +5%
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $155 −$155 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $1,210 −$1,518 -125%
Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Kody Pearson Jun 12 $235 −$195 -83%
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff Jun 12 $426 −$409 -96%
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Thunderp Jun 12 $241 −$241 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $20 −$91 -450%
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tu Jun 12 $993 −$1,923 -194%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 12 $3 +$24 +910%
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks Jun 12 $0 +$91 +55139%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series Jun 12 $407 −$407 -100%
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Hornets vs. Celtics Jun 12 $23 +$282 +1252%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 12 $622 −$344 -55%
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 12 $18 −$28 -150%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff Jun 12 $118 −$117 -99%
Magic vs. Pistons Jun 12 $409 −$191 -47%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Little Rock: Dane Sweeny vs Enzo Aguiard Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Chall Jun 12 $149 −$149 -100%
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkate Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Jun 12 $1,027 −$1,027 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Gr Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playo Jun 12 $268 −$268 -100%
T20 Series Namibia vs Scotland: Namibia vs Scotland Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 12 $32 +$4 +12%
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime Leag Jun 12 $454 −$454 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $255 −$355 -140%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Jun 12 $124 −$106 -85%
Hornets vs. Timberwolves Jun 12 $92 −$72 -77%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Se Jun 12 $22 −$60 -277%
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 12 $173 −$173 -100%
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Jun 12 $117 −$117 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Jun 12 $22 +$336 +1534%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $224 −$197 -88%
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega Jun 12 $237 −$216 -91%
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $311 −$77 -25%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $378 −$378 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs Jun 12 $241 −$223 -92%
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 12 $136 −$312 -229%
Chisinau: Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca Nardi Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Lakers vs. Rockets Jun 12 $1,628 −$1,210 -74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$4,407
other 2% +$1,681
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 62¢ $1 2m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 62¢ $124 2m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $113 4m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $111 4m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 49¢ $8 6m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 49¢ $47 6m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 49¢ $24 6m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 49¢ $15 6m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 80¢ $177 7m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 33¢ $3 9m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 33¢ $4 9m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 45¢ $82 10m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 45¢ $82 10m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 72¢ $124 16m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 44¢ $81 18m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $1,499 19m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 79¢ $159 21m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 81¢ $163 21m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 81¢ $163 21m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 17¢ $35 22m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 22¢ $2 24m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 18¢ $38 27m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 19¢ $39 27m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 80¢ $114 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 77¢ $155 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 70¢ $133 31m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 70¢ $8 31m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 61¢ $123 32m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 2¢ $2 36m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 43¢ $79 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)+8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 481 +24.8% +12.9% 19% 16% -63.3%
≤30d 666 +19.9% +8.5% 29% 24% -42.3%
≤90d 666 +19.9% +8.5% 29% 24% -42.3%
all 666 +19.9% +8.5% 29% 24% -42.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover215.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.5% 24% -42.3%
10% ← realistic here -1.9% 20% -47.8%
15% -11.4% 16% -52.9%
20% -20.0% 14% -57.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,848.51 · official $1,848.54 (match) · 3500 history records