Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T22:26:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
EC 0xec6f…b34f crypto 1206 markets active 0h ago coverage 66d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 65d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$900 (+3%) realized +$900 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate64%777W / 429L
Drawdown64%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day36.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$76
7 days−$1,374
14 days−$304
30 days+$445
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$1,118
other 3% −$190
politics 1% $0
economics 0% $0
sports 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 204 -25.0% -32.2% 33% 30% -46.4%
≤30d 430 -1.6% -11.0% 41% 40% -2.5%
≤90d 1206 +2.0% -7.7% 64% 33% -6.4%
all 1206 +2.0% -7.7% 64% 33% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover36.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 33% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 23% -15.3%
15% -24.6% 20% -23.5%
20% -32.0% 19% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
47% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$15 · ×0.63 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.14 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

66d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$900
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses777 / 429
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1206 / 1206
History coverage66d ⚠
Avg bet$27
Trades / day36.2
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1206 Trades
no open positions (72 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$8 +74%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$50 +100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$6 -54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$11 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$3 -29%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$9 -86%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$8 -77%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$6 +59%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$7 +70%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$6 +62%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$12 +118%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$2 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$3 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$15 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$8 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$11 +105%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$8 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +92%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +63%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +78%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$13 +129%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +92%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +92%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $9 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $11 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $11 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $7 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET SELL Down 0¢ $0 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $2 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.51 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records