Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:05:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec75…e33c
crypto · 742 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$334 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$225 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$225
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses304 / 437
Open positions1
Markets (closed)741 / 742
History coverage9d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day314.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 741 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$175
14 days−$225
30 days−$225
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 68¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$4 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +228%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$226
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 513 -6.1% -15.0% 39% 19% -13.3%
≤30d 741 -5.4% -14.4% 41% 19% -12.8%
≤90d 741 -5.4% -14.4% 41% 19% -12.8%
all 741 -5.4% -14.4% 41% 19% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover314.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 19% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 10% -21.2%
15% -30.1% 6% -28.8%
20% -36.9% 4% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.64 (match) · 3500 history records