Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:52:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec91…7910
crypto · 1600 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1501 / 99
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1600 / 1600
History coverage116d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1600 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? No 93¢ 92¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Apr 22 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Apr 22 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Apr 22 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Apr 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Apr 21 $2 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
other 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY No 93¢ $3 1h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less BUY No 99¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 52d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -49.5% -54.3% 50% 0% -58.9%
≤30d 2 -49.5% -54.3% 50% 0% -58.9%
≤90d 834 +0.1% -9.4% 96% 0% -9.5%
all 1600 +0.2% -9.3% 94% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.2%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.49 · official $2.49 (match) · 3500 history records