Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:51:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec93…55f5
crypto · 47 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$288 -69%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$288 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$288
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses13 / 31
Open positions3
Markets (closed)44 / 47
History coverage585d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 3 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 98¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+5%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? No 94¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? No 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$7 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction? Feb 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? Feb 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland? Feb 03 $5 $0 +7%
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? Jan 21 $5 −$5 -93%
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? Dec 06 $5 $0 +4%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? Nov 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Israel military strike against Iran in November? Nov 25 $5 −$4 -90%
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? Nov 25 $30 −$28 -94%
Will Trump say "God" in his speech after the election is called? Nov 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called? Nov 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Trump say "Mail-in" in his speech after the election is called? Nov 25 $10 +$2 +16%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Nov 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times November 1-8? Nov 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Trump wins every swing state? Nov 11 $79 −$79 -100%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 08 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 68% −$259
crypto 22% −$11
other 7% −$4
sports 2% −$9
world 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-50.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -29.8% -36.4% 34% 31% -20.9%
≤30d 29 -29.8% -36.4% 34% 31% -20.9%
≤90d 29 -29.8% -36.4% 34% 31% -20.9%
all 44 -45.7% -50.9% 30% 23% -76.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -50.9% 23% -76.9%
10% -55.6% 16% -79.1%
15% -59.9% 7% -81.1%
20% -63.8% 5% -83.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.68 · official $25.68 (match) · 119 history records