trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 28 | -10.5% | -19.0% | 32% | 0% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.0% | 0% | -11.5% |
| 10% | -26.8% | 0% | -19.9% |
| 15% | -33.9% | 0% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -40.3% | 0% | -34.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 71¢ | 56¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 17 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 25 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 24 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 24 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 24 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 23 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 20 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 19 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 19 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on June 3? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference? | May 20 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.75 and $6.00 in April? | May 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 11 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 11 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 10 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elect | May 10 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope? | May 08 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May? | May 07 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | May 07 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 07 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 16 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru advance to the Romanian Presidential Elect | Apr 14 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 14 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 12 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 29 | $14 | $0 | +0% |