Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:59:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xecb0…11de
crypto · 234 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$19 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses133 / 101
Open positions0
Markets (closed)234 / 234
History coverage4d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day94.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 62¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 57¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 39¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 63¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 64¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 57¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 44¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 48¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 39¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 47¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 31¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 71¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 52¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 53¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 59¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 52¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 56¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 63¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 65¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 60¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 28¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 56¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$13 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$12 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$10 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$8 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$17 +113%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$14 +104%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$13 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +59%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $8 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $0 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $0 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $7 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 +2.1% -7.6% 57% 55% -9.7%
≤30d 234 +2.1% -7.6% 57% 55% -9.7%
≤90d 234 +2.1% -7.6% 57% 55% -9.7%
all 234 +2.1% -7.6% 57% 55% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover94.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 55% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 53% -18.3%
15% -24.5% 48% -26.2%
20% -31.9% 38% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 566 history records