trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 25% | 0% | -8.5% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +32.3% | +19.7% | 53% | 13% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +25.9% | +13.9% | 53% | 11% | -9.9% |
| all | 27 | +14.8% | +3.9% | 56% | 7% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.9% | 7% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -6.1% | 4% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -15.1% | 4% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -23.5% | 4% | -33.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 20 | $82 | −$1 | -1% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $73 | +$3 | +4% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 26 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $81 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 26 | $69 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 26 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 24 | $40 | −$8 | -19% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 24 | $4 | $0 | +7% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 23 | $15 | −$2 | -12% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 22 | $7 | +$1 | +15% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 21 | $45 | −$1 | -3% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 21 | $36 | +$2 | +6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | May 20 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 19 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 19 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Meta buy TikTok? | Jun 27 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23? | May 24 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next C | May 03 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 28 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21? | Mar 23 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |