Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xecbe…42ff
crypto · 139 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$19,807 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19,807 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$19,807
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses57 / 82
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Est. fees paid−$2,275
Open positions0
Markets (closed)139 / 139
History coverage12d
Avg bet$1,791
Trades / day268.7
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 0 History 139 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$592
7 days+$4,784
14 days+$19,807
30 days+$19,807
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 12 $1,444 +$220 +15%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 12 $3,278 +$78 +2%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7,414 +$83 +1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7,920 +$80 +1%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $2,017 +$4 +0%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50,785 −$349 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $56 −$17 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 11 $1,920 +$51 +3%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $279 −$170 -61%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 11 $169 −$60 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$28 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $12,647 +$752 +6%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 11 $187 −$4 -2%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $33 +$109 +330%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $22 +$10 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1,007 −$19 -2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $18 −$18 -98%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $2,400 +$120 +5%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $1,260 −$26 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $77 −$28 -37%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $22 −$14 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 09 $18 +$10 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $25 +$24 +94%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $6,240 +$60 +1%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 09 $12 +$4 +35%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 08 $287 +$55 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% +$685
sports 43% +$16,654
finance 10% +$2,156
world 2% +$263
crypto 1% +$113
politics 0% −$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $7 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $11 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $6 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -15.1% -23.1% 46% 27% -6.8%
≤30d 139 -16.3% -24.2% 41% 22% -2.3%
≤90d 139 -16.3% -24.2% 41% 22% -2.3%
all 139 -16.3% -24.2% 41% 22% -2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover268.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.2% 22% -2.3%
10% -31.5% 18% -11.7%
15% ← realistic here -38.1% 17% -20.2%
20% -44.2% 13% -28.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records