Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:40:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xecca…2292
crypto · 1360 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$26,836 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26,836 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$26,836
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1032 / 328
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1360 / 1360
Avg bet$1,218
Trades / day60.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1360 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,530
7 days−$11,251
14 days−$10,526
30 days−$16,660
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $8,000 $0 −$8,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1,200 $0 −$1,200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $171 $0 −$171 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1,200 $0 −$1,200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $501 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $500 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $501 +$13 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $501 +$14 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $501 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $501 +$12 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $501 −$7 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $501 −$51 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $501 +$14 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $501 −$11 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $702 −$115 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $701 −$9 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $701 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $700 −$28 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $700 −$8 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $701 +$13 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $701 +$16 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $701 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $161 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $701 −$38 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $702 +$22 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $701 −$105 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $700 −$6 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $701 −$38 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $700 −$18 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $701 −$77 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $701 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $701 +$17 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $701 −$59 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $700 −$15 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $142 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $701 +$13 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $701 +$13 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1,007 −$1,000 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $8,009 −$8,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $825 +$66 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $2,994 +$28 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $5,271 −$76 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$26,836
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $500 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $500 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $499 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $501 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $500 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $500 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $501 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $501 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $501 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $501 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $494 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $501 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $450 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $501 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $501 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $490 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $501 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $586 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $702 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $700 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $692 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $701 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $699 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $701 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $672 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $700 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $693 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $700 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 191 -1.3% -10.7% 67% 0% -11.1%
≤30d 847 -0.9% -10.3% 82% 0% -10.6%
≤90d 1360 -2.2% -11.6% 76% 8% -11.0%
all 1360 -2.2% -11.6% 76% 8% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 8% -11.0%
10% -20.0% 1% -19.5%
15% ← realistic here -27.7% 0% -27.3%
20% -34.8% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records