Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T09:45:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
EC 0xeccb…f337 crypto 741 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (184 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$434 (+5%) realized +$431 · open +$3
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR74%break-even
Win rate81%600W / 140L
Drawdown42%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day184.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$70now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$329
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (184 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +74%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 740 +2.8% -7.0% 81% 74% -6.3%
≤30d 740 +2.8% -7.0% 81% 74% -6.3%
≤90d 740 +2.8% -7.0% 81% 74% -6.3%
all 740 +2.8% -7.0% 81% 74% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover184.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 74% -6.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 38% -15.2%
15% -24.0% 17% -23.4%
20% -31.4% 6% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$11 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.21 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$70
Realized+$431
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses600 / 140
Open positions1
Markets (closed)740 / 741
History coverage6d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day184.1
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 740 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $17 $20 +$3 (+16%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 135 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 20 $8 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $18 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $15 −$15 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $36 +$4 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $16 +$2 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $13 +$2 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $36 +$4 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $17 −$17 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $15 +$5 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $18 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $17 +$3 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 20 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 20 $16 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 20 $34 +$6 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 20 $18 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 20 $31 +$9 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $31 +$9 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 20 $17 +$3 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $13 −$13 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 20 $9 +$1 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 20 $17 +$3 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 20 $18 +$2 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 20 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 20 $13 −$13 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 20 $21 +$19 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $9 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 20 $11 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $18 +$2 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 34m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 50m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $18 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $69.99 · official $66.36 · 1682 history records