trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +19.5% | +8.1% | 60% | 60% | +10.3% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +19.5% | +8.1% | 60% | 60% | +10.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +15.5% | +4.5% | 57% | 57% | +3.8% |
| all | 23 | -12.4% | -20.8% | 48% | 35% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.8% | 35% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -28.4% | 30% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -35.3% | 26% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -41.6% | 17% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 26¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$2 | +48% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$10 | +190% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $6 | +$4 | +60% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Apr 29 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 29 | $10 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11? | Mar 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro win on 2026-01-25? | Jan 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC win on 2026-01-27? | Jan 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Jan 26 | $2 | +$1 | +52% |
| Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings? | Jan 15 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-17? | Jan 13 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | Jan 13 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $182 end of January? | Jan 13 | $3 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January? | Jan 13 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January? | Jan 13 | $15 | +$7 | +49% |
| Texans vs. Steelers | Jan 13 | $1 | +$1 | +67% |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12? | Jan 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw? | Jan 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $160 in January? | Jan 08 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 08 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 8? | Jan 07 | $5 | +$2 | +30% |