Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:00:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xecee…f79a
crypto · 1186 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$143 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,476 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$91
Realized−$2,476
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1161 / 153
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1314 / 1186
History coverage10d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day115.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 8 History 1314 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,432
7 days−$2,463
14 days−$2,476
30 days−$2,476
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+6%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $8 $9 +$0 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 14, 7AM ET? Yes 99¢ 98¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 14, 7AM ET? No 100¢ 98¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 12PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 2, 7AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 2PM ET Up 100¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 12PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 2, 7AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 2PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 4AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin above 75,200 on May 23, 10AM ET? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum above 2,305 on May 8, 2PM ET? Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - November 26, 9PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 15, 11PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 12, 4AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 1, 11PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$23
other 12% −$2
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 14, 7AM ET? BUY Yes 99¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 14, 7AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $8 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 4m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 34m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 50m
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 14, 6AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $8 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 1h
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 14, 5AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $8 2h
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 14, 5AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $8 2h
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 14, 5AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 14, 5AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 14, 5AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 14, 5AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 14, 5AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $8 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 14, 4AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 14, 4AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 14, 4AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 14, 4AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $8 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 973 -13.9% -22.1% 85% 0% -34.8%
≤30d 1314 -10.4% -18.9% 88% 1% -28.3%
≤90d 1314 -10.4% -18.9% 88% 1% -28.3%
all 1314 -10.4% -18.9% 88% 1% -28.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 1% -28.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 1% -35.1%
15% -33.8% 0% -41.4%
20% -40.3% 0% -47.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $90.96 · official $90.54 (match) · 3500 history records