trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -5.8% | -14.7% | 43% | 43% | -17.9% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -18.0% | -25.8% | 38% | 38% | -1.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -18.0% | -25.8% | 38% | 38% | -1.5% |
| all | 13 | -18.0% | -25.8% | 38% | 38% | -1.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.8% | 38% | -1.5% |
| 10% | -32.9% | 38% | -10.9% |
| 15% | -39.4% | 38% | -19.5% |
| 20% | -45.3% | 23% | -27.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $473 | $777 | +$304 (+64%) |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 6¢ | 7¢ | $100 | $116 | +$16 (+16%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $1,005 | +$375 | +37% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Jun 20 | $106 | −$106 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $295 | +$275 | +93% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $496 | −$201 | -41% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $2,141 | −$1,604 | -75% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1,500 | +$717 | +48% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $504 | −$15 | -3% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $321 | +$345 | +107% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $986 | +$982 | +100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Cowboys vs. Bears | Jun 13 | $64 | −$64 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |