Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:32:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed07…bc49
crypto · 402 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$47 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses273 / 118
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions11
Markets (closed)391 / 402
History coverage59d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day11.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 11 History 391 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$5
14 days−$8
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? No 96¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Sam McCown be the Republican Nominee for SC-01? No 97¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on June 12? No 96¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election? Yes 96¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12? Yes 96¢ 95¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? No 82¢ 91¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+11%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No 83¢ 81¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? Yes 98¢ 56¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-43%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026? No 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Yes 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026? No 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election No 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republica Jun 12 $5 −$2 -31%
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 11? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May? Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Will PPI YoY be between 7.0% and 7.9% in May? Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 10? Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 10? Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 10? Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary ele Jun 11 $5 −$1 -26%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 10 $5 $0 -0%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02? Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2 Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Gove Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Will Rom Reddy win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Go Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 9? Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 9? Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Will Martin O'Donnell be the Republican nominee for NV-03? Jun 10 $5 −$1 -23%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9? Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primar Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Will Billy Webster win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic pri Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Will David Atchley be the Republican nominee for SC-04? Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +9%
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 32% −$33
weather 27% +$7
politics 17% −$6
world 11% +$7
other 7% +$4
sports 3% −$16
finance 1% −$9
culture 1% +$1
tech 1% +$3
economics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 47m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $5 1h
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? BUY No 99¢ $5 2h
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Jun BUY Yes 96¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on Jun BUY No 96¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $5 2h
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? SELL No 99¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $5 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 83¢ $4 11h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 11h
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republica SELL No 68¢ $4 11h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? BUY No 96¢ $5 13h
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 13h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 13h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 13h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $5 16h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju SELL Yes 100¢ $5 16h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11? BUY Yes 97¢ $5 17h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 98¢ $5 17h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 17h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 17h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 11? BUY No 97¢ $5 17h
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 17h
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? BUY No 97¢ $5 18h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 11? SELL No 99¢ $5 18h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? BUY Yes 97¢ $5 18h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $5 18h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $5 18h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 99¢ $5 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +1.9% -7.8% 88% 7% -8.1%
≤30d 168 -3.5% -12.7% 79% 14% -11.6%
≤90d 391 -5.4% -14.4% 70% 42% -12.4%
all 391 -5.4% -14.4% 70% 42% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.4% 42% -12.4%
10% -22.6% 34% -20.8%
15% -30.1% 8% -28.4%
20% -36.9% 1% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.56 · official $50.16 (match) · 3500 history records