Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:17:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed0c…fccd
crypto · 1647 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$424 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$665 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$665
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses795 / 1141
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1936 / 1647
History coverage7d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day397.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1936 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$718
7 days−$661
14 days−$665
30 days−$665
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 41¢ 55¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 38¢ 32¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-14%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -167%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -151%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -109%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -150%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$151
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-27.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1903 -20.5% -28.0% 41% 38% -26.9%
≤30d 1936 -20.3% -27.9% 41% 38% -26.9%
≤90d 1936 -20.3% -27.9% 41% 38% -26.9%
all 1936 -20.3% -27.9% 41% 38% -26.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover397.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.9% 38% -26.9%
10% ← realistic here -34.8% 30% -33.9%
15% -41.1% 22% -40.3%
20% -46.9% 17% -46.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.55 · official $7.24 (match) · 3500 history records