Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:19:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed16…9314
crypto · 1507 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$812 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$789 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2
Realized−$789
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1245 / 296
Open positions14
Markets (closed)1541 / 1507
Avg bet$8
Trades / day83.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 14 History 1541 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$329
7 days−$364
14 days−$404
30 days−$789
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Steven Elliott be the Republican Nominee for MI-10? Yes 9¢ 2¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-78%)
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 18¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+455%)
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 16¢ 56¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+248%)
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19? Yes 44¢ 52¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+17%)
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 12¢ 22¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+86%)
Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? Yes 23¢ 14¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-38%)
Will Katie Porter finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-19%)
Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10? Yes 18¢ 5¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-73%)
Will Casey Armitage be the Republican Nominee for MI-10? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-10%)
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-17%)
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19? Yes 9¢ 4¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-59%)
Will Justin Kirk be the Republican Nominee for MI-10? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-80%)
Will Angus King III win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$9 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$478
politics 2% −$34
other 2% +$44
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $15 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $11 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $8 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 231 -26.0% -33.0% 55% 16% -26.8%
≤30d 1541 -7.4% -16.2% 81% 20% -15.2%
≤90d 1541 -7.4% -16.2% 81% 20% -15.2%
all 1541 -7.4% -16.2% 81% 20% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 20% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 6% -23.3%
15% -31.6% 5% -30.7%
20% -38.3% 4% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.65 · official $0.63 · 3500 history records