Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T14:58:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xed1b…6af2 crypto 181 markets active 2h ago coverage 168d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$851 (-1%) realized −$851 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate96%174W / 7L
Whale WR98%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$667per market
Trades / day6.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$165
7 days+$336
14 days+$676
30 days−$767
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$759
sports 0% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -1.8% -11.1% 92% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 119 -0.6% -10.0% 96% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 121 -1.4% -10.8% 95% 0% -10.1%
all 181 -0.7% -10.1% 96% 1% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 1% -10.1%
10% -18.7% 1% -18.7%
15% -26.6% 1% -26.6%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 98% (≥$990) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$286 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

168d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$851
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses174 / 7
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)181 / 181
History coverage168d
Avg bet$667
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 181 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 28 $3,272 +$32 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 28 $490 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 28 $2,471 +$29 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 28 $2,573 +$27 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 28 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 28 $1,792 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 27 $99 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 27 $2,987 +$13 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 27 $322 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 27 $693 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 27 $990 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 27 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 26 $813 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 26 $99 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 26 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 26 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 26 $1,503 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 26 $1,981 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 26 $411 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 26 $98 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 26 $1,186 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 26 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 24 $398 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 24 $1,179 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 24 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 23 $2,971 +$29 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 22 $187 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 22 $990 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 22 $1,485 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 22 $218 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 22 $2,971 +$29 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 21 $194 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 21 $3,267 +$33 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 21 $2,475 +$25 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 21 $395 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 21 $1,564 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 21 $2,075 +$25 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 20 $2,187 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 20 $990 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 20 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 19 $2,573 +$27 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 19 $990 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 19 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 18 $1,981 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $1,103 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $2,471 +$29 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $184 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $129 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $990 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $991 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $490 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $475 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $465 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1234 history records