Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed1c…2e25
sports · 130 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$265 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$252 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$52
Realized+$252
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses81 / 47
Est. fees paid−$27
Open positions2
Markets (closed)128 / 130
Avg bet$16
Trades / day19.5
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$129
14 days+$264
30 days+$252
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 39¢ 52¢ $39 $52 +$13 (+33%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Young Ninjas 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 60¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 30¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group C Young Ninjas 54¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$6 +228%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $21 −$2 -8%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $13 +$1 +6%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $33 +$12 +38%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $84 +$16 +19%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $89 +$11 +12%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $10 −$1 -11%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $36 +$4 +10%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $26 −$10 -37%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $13 −$12 -91%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $19 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $19 −$19 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $4 −$4 -95%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $42 −$12 -27%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $11 +$10 +91%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $13 +$10 +72%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $10 +$1 +14%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 10 $8 $0 -1%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $23 +$2 +7%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $18 −$3 -19%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $36 −$12 -33%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $40 +$10 +24%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $15 −$4 -30%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $19 +$6 +32%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $21 −$7 -35%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 09 $40 −$14 -34%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $97 −$6 -6%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $13 +$2 +19%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Jun 09 $28 +$2 +7%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $13 +$2 +16%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn Jun 09 $16 +$4 +23%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $22 +$3 +13%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $14 +$1 +5%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $18 +$2 +14%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $31 +$9 +29%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $7 +$3 +49%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $24 +$13 +55%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $16 +$19 +125%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $37 +$23 +62%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $66 −$18 -27%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $24 +$22 +90%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $8 −$8 -99%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $8 −$1 -14%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $19 −$18 -98%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $27 +$3 +10%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $6 +$3 +51%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 −$4 -61%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $33 +$22 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$278
finance 2% −$14
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 92¢ $9 31m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 24¢ $1 38m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 26¢ $6 46m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 31¢ $2 47m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $9 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 70¢ $17 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 10¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 43¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 43¢ $7 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 23¢ $5 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 45¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 44¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 33¢ $3 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 41¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 43¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $3 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $3 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $3 20h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $11 20h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 25¢ $2 22h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 40¢ $4 22h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 56¢ $14 22h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 56¢ $17 22h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 50¢ $3 22h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 55¢ $6 22h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win SELL Top Esports Challenger 100¢ $45 22h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 30¢ $3 22h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 52¢ $3 23h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 52¢ $8 23h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win BUY Top Esports Challenger 83¢ $12 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +5.3% -4.7% 62% 49% -1.3%
≤30d 128 +15.7% +4.7% 63% 55% +1.8%
≤90d 128 +15.7% +4.7% 63% 55% +1.8%
all 128 +15.7% +4.7% 63% 55% +1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +4.7% 55% +1.8%
10% -5.3% 41% -7.9%
15% -14.5% 30% -16.8%
20% -22.8% 23% -25.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.50 · official $51.50 (match) · 445 history records