Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:47:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed2f…9897
crypto · 15 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
+$6,413 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,176 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$6,176
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses9 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)15 / 15
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,985
Trades / day173.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,176
7 days+$6,176
14 days+$6,176
30 days+$6,176
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $580 $0 −$580 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11,451 $0 −$11,451 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1,043 −$950 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2,085 +$3,233 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $2,324 +$2,341 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $463 +$4,470 +964%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $11,451 −$11,451 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $209 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $983 +$893 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $4,034 +$4,039 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2,068 −$2,000 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $2,485 +$3,107 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1,042 −$1,000 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1,048 +$2,139 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $475 +$1,553 +327%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$19 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6,176
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $44 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $409 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $251 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $383 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $764 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $258 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $758 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $201 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $159 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $82 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $77 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $137 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $61 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $77 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $98 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $96 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $819 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $146 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $138 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+81.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +100.9% +81.7% 60% 60% +10.8%
≤30d 15 +100.9% +81.7% 60% 60% +10.8%
≤90d 15 +100.9% +81.7% 60% 60% +10.8%
all 15 +100.9% +81.7% 60% 60% +10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover173.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +81.7% 60% +10.8%
10% +64.3% 60% +0.2%
15% ← realistic here +48.5% 60% -9.5%
20% +33.9% 53% -18.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 183 history records