trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +18.5% | +7.2% | 75% | 75% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 71% | 71% | -23.3% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 64% | 40% | -13.7% |
| all | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 64% | 40% | -13.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 40% | -13.7% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 32% | -21.9% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 24% | -29.5% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 12% | -36.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | $4,322 | $4,743 | +$420 (+10%) |
| Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | New Zealand | 58¢ | 1¢ | $875 | $9 | −$866 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $194 | +$106 | +55% |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $174 | +$126 | +72% |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $340 | −$338 | -100% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $204 | +$96 | +47% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $46 | +$9 | +19% |
| Spread: Austria (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $696 | +$304 | +44% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $880 | +$120 | +14% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $295 | +$205 | +70% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $769 | −$762 | -99% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $778 | +$234 | +30% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 17 | $2,370 | −$2,370 | -100% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $480 | −$480 | -100% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 12 | $1,560 | +$380 | +24% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1,725 | +$775 | +45% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Apr 17 | $12,060 | −$422 | -4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | Apr 17 | $3 | $0 | +6% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Apr 16 | $760 | +$40 | +5% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 15 | $720 | −$96 | -13% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 14 | $398 | +$15 | +4% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 14 | $1,820 | +$180 | +10% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 14 | $3,172 | +$180 | +6% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Apr 12 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 12 | $279 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 12 | $89 | −$38 | -43% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Apr 12 | $2,810 | +$234 | +8% |