trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 40% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 40% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 24 | -1.8% | -11.1% | 33% | 8% | -14.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.1% | 8% | -14.2% |
| 10% | -19.6% | 8% | -22.4% |
| 15% | -27.4% | 4% | -29.9% |
| 20% | -34.5% | 0% | -36.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 47¢ | 47¢ | $39 | $39 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 06 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 05 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 04 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 04 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 29 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 27 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 26 | $21 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03? | Jan 30 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 04 | $5 | +$2 | +47% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 25 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 25 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 25 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02? | Nov 25 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Nov 25 | $18 | −$2 | -10% |
| Buccaneers vs. Rams | Nov 25 | $18 | +$6 | +35% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22? | Nov 20 | $34 | $0 | -1% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Nov 20 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 19 | $38 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025? | Oct 22 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31? | Aug 22 | $2 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025? | Aug 22 | $40 | $0 | -0% |