Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:43:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xed3a…b296 crypto 53 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3 (-5%) realized −$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate47%25W / 28L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day55.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -7.8% -16.6% 47% 45% -16.5%
≤30d 53 -7.8% -16.6% 47% 45% -16.5%
≤90d 53 -7.8% -16.6% 47% 45% -16.5%
all 53 -7.8% -16.6% 47% 45% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 45% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 45% -24.5%
15% -31.9% 45% -31.8%
20% -38.6% 42% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.91 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses25 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)53 / 53
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day55.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 53 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 89 history records