trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | 54¢ | 100¢ | $8 | $15 | +$7 (+85%) |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 0¢ | $430 | $0 | −$430 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Jun 14 | $3,659 | −$118 | -3% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 14 | $5,405 | −$18 | -0% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 14 | $342 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $9 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $6,079 | −$32 | -0% |
| Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur | Jun 14 | $8 | −$3 | -36% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $132 | −$76 | -57% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1,244 | −$391 | -31% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $586 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | Jun 13 | $9 | $0 | -5% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $15 | +$17 | +109% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $14 | +$15 | +109% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $73 | −$25 | -34% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $8 | +$2 | +30% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $38 | +$46 | +121% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $608 | −$6 | -1% |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | Jun 11 | $4 | −$1 | -15% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals | Jun 11 | $3 | +$1 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 10 | $13 | +$7 | +54% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 10 | $6 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 09 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp | Jun 09 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | -6% |
| HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler | Jun 08 | $12 | $0 | +4% |
| HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian | Jun 08 | $3 | $0 | -5% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | +9.2% | -1.2% | 31% | 27% | -12.5% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +9.2% | -1.2% | 31% | 27% | -12.5% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +9.2% | -1.2% | 31% | 27% | -12.5% |
| all | 26 | +9.2% | -1.2% | 31% | 27% | -12.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -1.2% | 27% | -12.5% |
| 10% | -10.7% | 23% | -20.9% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -19.3% | 19% | -28.6% |
| 20% | -27.2% | 15% | -35.6% |