Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:59:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed42…d5df
crypto · 401 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$23 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses212 / 189
Open positions0
Markets (closed)401 / 401
History coverage34d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day15.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 401 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$17
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 55¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 60¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 59¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 59¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 36¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 55¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 50¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +113%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$3 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$2 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$2 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$3 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 02 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 02 $3 +$2 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 02 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 02 $3 +$3 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 02 $3 +$3 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 02 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 02 $3 +$3 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 02 $3 +$3 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 02 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 02 $3 +$4 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 02 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 02 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$2 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$2 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 31 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down $1 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down $1 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +3.1% -6.7% 58% 58% -4.5%
≤30d 261 -2.2% -11.5% 52% 52% -10.8%
≤90d 401 -2.5% -11.8% 53% 53% -11.2%
all 401 -2.5% -11.8% 53% 53% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 53% -11.2%
10% -20.2% 53% -19.7%
15% -27.9% 53% -27.5%
20% -35.0% 52% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 722 history records