Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:09:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed5d…901e
crypto · 10 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses6 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day32.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$11 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+0.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +11.4% +0.8% 60% 50% -14.0%
≤30d 10 +11.4% +0.8% 60% 50% -14.0%
≤90d 10 +11.4% +0.8% 60% 50% -14.0%
all 10 +11.4% +0.8% 60% 50% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.8% 50% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -8.8% 50% -22.2%
15% -17.6% 40% -29.8%
20% -25.7% 30% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 44 history records