Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:12:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed6f…9bf4
crypto · 116 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$809 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,428 · open +$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$176
Realized−$2,428
Unrealized+$20
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses14 / 101
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Est. fees paid−$89
Open positions1
Markets (closed)115 / 116
History coverage13d
Avg bet$230
Trades / day44.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 1 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$520
7 days−$1,412
14 days−$2,428
30 days−$2,428
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 50¢ 56¢ $156 $176 +$20 (+13%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-04? No 50¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $1,787 +$169 +10%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $283 −$64 -23%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $289 −$142 -49%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $374 +$11 +3%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,521 −$75 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 13 $269 −$16 -6%
Will Kosovo win on 2026-06-07? Jun 13 $100 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $291 −$35 -12%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $198 −$25 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6PM ET Jun 13 $100 $0 -0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 13 $1,581 −$150 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4AM ET Jun 13 $117 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 13 $245 −$30 -12%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $519 −$2 -0%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $479 −$224 -47%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $260 +$65 +25%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $259 −$78 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $144 +$32 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $371 −$66 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $111 −$2 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $110 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $238 −$119 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $217 −$58 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $896 −$137 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $134 −$17 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $260 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET Jun 10 $105 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET Jun 08 $183 −$42 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 08 $200 −$50 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $107 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $265 −$82 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8PM ET Jun 08 $177 +$40 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET Jun 08 $164 −$82 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7PM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $200 −$50 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET Jun 07 $200 −$50 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11AM ET Jun 07 $198 −$49 -25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 45% −$1,466
sports 36% −$231
other 19% −$710
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $17 3m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $7 3m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $7 3m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $3 3m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $4 3m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 44¢ $7 3m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 44¢ $1 3m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $85 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 10¢ $15 46m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 90¢ $135 46m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 9¢ $5 46m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 14¢ $0 48m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 14¢ $15 48m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 88¢ $12 48m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 88¢ $120 48m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 6¢ $0 51m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 6¢ $9 51m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 94¢ $35 52m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 94¢ $12 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 92¢ $7 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 78¢ $116 54m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 57¢ $6 55m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 37¢ $3 57m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 41¢ $24 57m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 39¢ $2 58m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 39¢ $36 58m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 65¢ $96 58m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 51¢ $1 58m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 53¢ $50 59m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 47¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -33.2% -39.6% 14% 7% -19.3%
≤30d 115 +2.0% -7.7% 12% 8% -21.2%
≤90d 115 +2.0% -7.7% 12% 8% -21.2%
all 115 +2.0% -7.7% 12% 8% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 8% -21.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 5% -28.8%
15% -24.6% 3% -35.6%
20% -32.0% 3% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $176.35 · official $175.72 (match) · 1082 history records