Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:25:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed7f…03f3
sports · 109 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$29 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$10
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses59 / 45
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions5
Markets (closed)104 / 109
History coverage62d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 5 History 104 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$9
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 35¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+186%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 51¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1 −$1 -63%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 +$2 +119%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -91%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $9 +$3 +34%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 +$1 +21%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June Jun 11 $4 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $7 −$1 -14%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1 $0 +36%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 09 $3 +$7 +238%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 −$2 -51%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 08 $2 $0 -4%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 $0 +42%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2 +$3 +158%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $1 $0 +40%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2 $0 +24%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $2 −$2 -72%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 $0 +26%
Will Armenia vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Jun 06 $1 +$1 +85%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $2 +$1 +34%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $1 $0 +38%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1 +$1 +109%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1 $0 +48%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $2 $0 +26%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3 −$2 -91%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $10 −$5 -48%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $8 +$3 +40%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $21 −$6 -30%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $3 +$2 +83%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $2 +$1 +67%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $2 +$1 +60%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $2 +$1 +62%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $3 +$2 +67%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $4 +$1 +17%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% +$4
other 19% −$17
crypto 4% $0
tech 2% $0
politics 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 92¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 45¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 7¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 97¢ $17 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 5¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 6¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 11¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 28¢ $1 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 78¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 80¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 45¢ $1 12h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $6 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 52¢ $1 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 57¢ $2 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 38¢ $1 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 49¢ $1 29h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 100¢ $7 29h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 82¢ $5 33h
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL Yes 91¢ $5 33h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 43¢ $1 33h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $2 38h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 38h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 87¢ $5 42h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 96¢ $5 42h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 11¢ $1 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -0.9% -10.3% 56% 51% -15.0%
≤30d 62 -1.2% -10.6% 55% 52% -17.0%
≤90d 104 +2.9% -6.9% 57% 53% -13.1%
all 104 +2.9% -6.9% 57% 53% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.9% 53% -13.1%
10% -15.8% 47% -21.4%
15% -23.9% 36% -29.0%
20% -31.4% 23% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.84 · official $5.84 (match) · 251 history records