Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:30:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
ED 0xed89…df85 crypto 516 markets active 8d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (3164 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$10,465 (+88%) realized +$10,465 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +667% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +490% what you keep after slip
Net edge+490%after slip
Net WR69%break-even
Win rate78%683W / 194L
Drawdown2%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day3164.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$274now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,523
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3164 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)+593.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 471 +1141.2% +1023.0% 93% 90% +727.3%
≤30d 877 +666.9% +593.9% 78% 69% +11.4%
≤90d 877 +666.9% +593.9% 78% 69% +11.4%
all 877 +666.9% +593.9% 78% 69% +11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3164.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +593.9% 69% +11.4%
10% ← realistic here +527.5% 64% +0.8%
15% +466.9% 61% -9.0%
20% +411.3% 58% -17.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +30% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +667% · $-wt +30% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +102% → late +1231% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$5 · ×1.38 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×4.85 per $1 lost it wins $4.85
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$274
Realized+$10,465
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses683 / 194
Open positions0
Markets (closed)877 / 516
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$23
Trades / day3164.0
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 877 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$9 +3019%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$4 +963%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$15 +2043%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$2 +458%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +191%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$9 +3414%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +280%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$2 +304%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$3 +1095%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$5 +1788%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$21 +8501%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$19 +6858%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$6 +1003%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$6 +2109%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$6 +2756%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +67%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$17 +9544%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$9 +3040%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$2 +729%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$5 +1498%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$6 +979%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$14 +5920%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$8 +1697%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$8 +3072%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$3 +823%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$10 +1889%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$6 +1663%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$3 +840%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$11 +2746%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$42 +15885%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -117%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$8 +10374%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$4 +1503%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$7 +1577%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$2 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$4 +1092%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$2 +177%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$3 +1651%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$7 +2786%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $8 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 8d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $37 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 8d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 8d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $274.45 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records