trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -3.0% | -12.3% | 5% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 27 | -2.3% | -11.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -20.1% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -27.8% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.9% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 24 | $1,198 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $55 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the top Spotify artist for 2026? | Jun 24 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 24 | $1,170 | −$1 | -0% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, | Jun 23 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 23 | $57 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $1,189 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 23 | $1,148 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 22 | $1,168 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 22 | $68 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 22 | $1,115 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $1,164 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Apr 18 | $12 | −$3 | -22% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 18 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 18 | $169 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 17 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 17 | $166 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 16 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $4 | $0 | -10% |
| Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | Apr 16 | $7 | −$1 | -18% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Apr 16 | $168 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 24? | Mar 24 | $31 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 24 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 24 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Mar 20 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Mar 20 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $20 | $0 | -0% |