Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T02:21:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xed8b…e048 crypto 66 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (198 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$31 (-3%) realized −$31 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate39%26W / 40L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day198.0pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$159
other 7% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (198 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -0.4% -9.9% 39% 30% -29.5%
≤30d 66 -0.4% -9.9% 39% 30% -29.5%
≤90d 66 -0.4% -9.9% 39% 30% -29.5%
all 66 -0.4% -9.9% 39% 30% -29.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover198.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 30% -29.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 26% -36.3%
15% -26.4% 21% -42.4%
20% -33.6% 17% -48.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -22% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -22% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late +10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$8 · ×0.57 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.37 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses26 / 40
Open positions0
Markets (closed)66 / 66
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day198.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 66 Trades
no open positions (25 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 24 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 24 $21 −$8 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 24 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 24 $17 +$8 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 24 $43 −$40 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 24 $63 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 24 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 24 $26 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 24 $51 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 24 $78 +$16 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 24 $31 −$8 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $53 +$17 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 24 $53 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 24 $109 −$49 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 24 $11 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 23 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 23 $14 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 23 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$7 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 23 $11 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 23 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$14 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 23 $3 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 23 $4 +$5 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 23 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 23 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 23 $12 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 23 $15 +$7 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 23 $3 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 23 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 23 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 23 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 23 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 23 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 23 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $16 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $13 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $21 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $21 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $12 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 221 history records