trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -78.0% | -80.1% | 0% | 0% | -80.1% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -31.1% | -37.7% | 50% | 50% | +2.4% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -28.5% | -35.3% | 57% | 48% | -30.3% |
| all | 23 | -15.1% | -23.2% | 61% | 52% | -25.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.2% | 52% | -25.4% |
| 10% | -30.5% | 22% | -32.5% |
| 15% | -37.2% | 13% | -39.1% |
| 20% | -43.4% | 9% | -45.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -78% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 08 | $37 | +$6 | +16% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | May 02 | $18 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April? | Apr 29 | $11 | +$2 | +22% |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April? | Apr 29 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April? | Apr 29 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in April? | Apr 27 | $16 | +$2 | +13% |
| Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? | Apr 27 | $14 | −$11 | -80% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | Apr 21 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? | Apr 21 | $8 | +$4 | +54% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 21 | $26 | −$26 | -99% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | Apr 21 | $2 | $0 | +14% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 13 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 12 | $7 | +$4 | +48% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Apr 11 | $9 | +$1 | +13% |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | Apr 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Apr 02 | $11 | +$2 | +22% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 01 | $11 | +$4 | +35% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Apr 01 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | Mar 31 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Mar 31 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026? | Mar 12 | $3 | +$7 | +223% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Mar 12 | $10 | +$3 | +30% |