Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:13:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed9c…2309
crypto · 19 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$110
Realized+$14
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses12 / 6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)18 / 19
History coverage1d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day113.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 98¢ 98¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 5¢ 2¢ $20 $10 −$10 (-49%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$8 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$12 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$9 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +211%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$9
other 2% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $11 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $12 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $11 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $20 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $12 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $11 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -5.6% -14.6% 67% 44% -5.9%
≤30d 18 -5.6% -14.6% 67% 44% -5.9%
≤90d 18 -5.6% -14.6% 67% 44% -5.9%
all 18 -5.6% -14.6% 67% 44% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover113.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 44% -5.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 28% -14.9%
15% -30.2% 11% -23.2%
20% -37.0% 11% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $109.60 · official $112.62 · 117 history records