trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +10.9% | +0.4% | 50% | 50% | +12.3% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +10.9% | +0.4% | 50% | 50% | +12.3% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -10.7% | -19.2% | 60% | 55% | -3.1% |
| all | 20 | -10.7% | -19.2% | 60% | 55% | -3.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.2% | 55% | -3.1% |
| 10% | -26.9% | 30% | -12.4% |
| 15% | -34.0% | 20% | -20.8% |
| 20% | -40.5% | 15% | -28.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? | Yes | 15¢ | 1¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-95%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 11 | $5 | +$8 | +152% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +40% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 10 | $6 | −$3 | -48% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | May 13 | $15 | −$11 | -76% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 11? | May 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on May 10? | May 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 11? | May 11 | $25 | +$7 | +27% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | May 08 | $16 | +$2 | +14% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian president | May 07 | $41 | +$6 | +15% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? | Apr 19 | $7 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first roun | Apr 19 | $9 | +$2 | +23% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of | Apr 19 | $11 | +$2 | +19% |
| Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff? | Apr 19 | $7 | +$1 | +16% |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qu | Apr 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Apr 15 | $1 | +$1 | +97% |
| Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | Apr 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Apr 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 14? | Apr 15 | $4 | +$4 | +92% |