Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:55:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xeda3…e141
sports · 193 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$14 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses17 / 175
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)192 / 193
History coverage165d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 1 History 192 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 98¢ 98¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 31 $139 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 23 $146 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 15 $86 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Mar 02 $240 $0 -0%
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? Mar 02 $53 $0 -0%
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Mar 02 $157 $0 -0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee Mar 02 $143 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 02 $129 $0 -0%
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? Mar 02 $280 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Mar 02 $197 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 02 $98 $0 -0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 02 $103 $0 -0%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Mar 02 $72 $0 -0%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Mar 02 $56 $0 -0%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 02 $50 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 02 $185 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? Mar 02 $54 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? Mar 02 $94 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 02 $202 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 02 $307 $0 -0%
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mar 02 $55 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Mar 02 $325 $0 -0%
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Mar 02 $120 $0 -0%
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? Mar 02 $53 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Mar 02 $48 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Mar 02 $106 $0 -0%
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? Mar 02 $52 $0 -0%
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? Mar 02 $50 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Feb 26 $90 $0 -0%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Feb 26 $97 $0 -0%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Feb 23 $167 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Feb 23 $57 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Feb 22 $147 +$1 +1%
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Feb 21 $4 $0 -0%
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Feb 21 $16 $0 +0%
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? Feb 21 $50 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me Feb 21 $53 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Feb 21 $106 $0 -0%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Feb 21 $81 $0 -0%
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)? Feb 21 $52 $0 -0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Feb 21 $99 $0 -0%
Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)? Feb 21 $51 $0 -0%
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? Feb 21 $221 $0 -0%
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? Feb 18 $50 $0 -0%
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Feb 18 $50 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Feb 18 $158 −$1 -0%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February? Feb 18 $100 $0 -0%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Feb 18 $98 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 18 $82 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Feb 18 $97 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 25% −$4
other 23% −$5
sports 22% −$2
economics 12% −$1
crypto 7% −$1
culture 5% $0
world 4% −$1
tech 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 98¢ $50 1h
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $43 13d
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $43 13d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 96¢ $45 21d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 96¢ $45 22d
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 94¢ $40 29d
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 94¢ $40 29d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 97¢ $47 103d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 97¢ $47 103d
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 98¢ $51 103d
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 98¢ $51 103d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 97¢ $42 103d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 97¢ $42 103d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $53 103d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $53 103d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 97¢ $50 103d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 97¢ $50 103d
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? SELL No 93¢ $50 103d
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? BUY No 93¢ $50 103d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee SELL Yes 97¢ $48 103d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee BUY Yes 97¢ $48 103d
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 91¢ $51 103d
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 91¢ $51 103d
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? SELL No 96¢ $52 103d
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? BUY No 96¢ $52 103d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $46 103d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $46 103d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $41 103d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $41 103d
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? SELL No 94¢ $49 103d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 3 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 3 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
all 192 -0.6% -10.1% 9% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.7% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.13 · official $50.13 (match) · 750 history records