Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:18:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xeda6…84c5
sports · 317 markets active 0h ago
6.0score
+$11,870 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10,814 · open +$1,057
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$3,902
Realized+$10,814
Unrealized+$1,057
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses161 / 150
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$1,913
Open positions6
Markets (closed)311 / 317
History coverage88d
Avg bet$624
Trades / day8.9
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 6 History 311 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$802
7 days+$9,810
14 days+$4,100
30 days+$5,884
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 52¢ 100¢ $1,655 $3,154 +$1,499 (+91%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 51¢ 100¢ $358 $697 +$339 (+94%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 71¢ 100¢ $24 $33 +$10 (+41%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 36¢ 100¢ $5 $13 +$8 (+178%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Under 80¢ $800 $5 −$795 (-99%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half Yes $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Klimovicova vs. Kraus: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Over $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Exact Score: Málaga CF 1 - 3 UD Las Palmas? Yes $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Alexander Bublik vs. Jan-Lennard Struff: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Under 3.5 $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 Winner ALGO Esports 33¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Joventut vs. Unicaja Unicaja 42¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: EC BANGA vs m1x - Map 2 Winner EC BANGA 18¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Manchester City FC leading at halftime? No 52¢ $2,456 $0 −$2,456 (-100%)
Exact Score: Cerezo Ōsaka 3 - 1 V-Varen Nagasaki? Yes 15¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Galions 31¢ $374 $0 −$374 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Lazer Cats 35¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești: O/U 1.5 Under 61¢ $463 $0 −$463 (-100%)
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5 Over 20¢ $351 $0 −$351 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals Sunrisers Hyderabad 10¢ $915 $0 −$915 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin Roman Safiullin 65¢ $2,661 $0 −$2,661 (-100%)
ITF Madrid: Briyana Ivanova vs Paula Cembranos Paula Cembranos $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Klimovicova vs. Kraus: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Over $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Svitolina Gauff $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 Winner TLN Pirates 26¢ $1,170 $0 −$1,170 (-100%)
NK Osijek vs. NK Slaven Belupo: O/U 4.5 Over $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Set 1 Winner: Taborda vs Rivera Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $498 +$827 +166%
Set Handicap: Mazdrashki (-1.5) vs Eichenseher (+1.5) Jun 11 $7,077 +$4,795 +68%
Lollia vs. Popa: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 11 $2,657 +$1,755 +66%
ITF Nice: Mathilde Lollia vs Maria Sara Popa Jun 11 $1,573 +$418 +27%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Denis Petak vs Daniel Siniakov Jun 11 $2 +$3 +119%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs David Eichenseher Jun 11 $2,136 +$700 +33%
ITF Madrid: Briyana Ivanova vs Paula Cembranos Jun 11 $54 −$52 -97%
Set 1 Winner: Velikova vs Ivanovic Jun 11 $3,207 +$1,394 +44%
ITF Wichita: Duncan Chan vs Jie Cui Jun 10 $3 +$2 +79%
Exact Score: Málaga CF 1 - 3 UD Las Palmas? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $104 +$103 +99%
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $1,348 −$1,343 -100%
RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $41 −$40 -98%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $281 +$27 +10%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $360 −$351 -98%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Draw at halftime? Jun 09 $855 −$847 -99%
Klimovicova vs. Kraus: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 08 $26 −$26 -97%
Klimovicova vs. Kraus: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 08 $0 $0 -97%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,214 +$169 +14%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 07 $36 −$35 -98%
Will Leinster/Lions win? Jun 06 $33 +$2 +5%
Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $1,723 +$1,885 +109%
Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $1,486 +$455 +31%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -97%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 06 $144 −$140 -98%
Exact Score: Romania 1 - 1 Wales? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $459 −$450 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $4,574 −$4,500 -98%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Stefanos Sakellaridi Jun 06 $663 +$25 +4%
Myanmar vs. Guam: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $213 −$210 -99%
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $156 +$33 +21%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 06 $3 +$1 +43%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $4 +$1 +34%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $382 −$374 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev May 31 $89 −$87 -98%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) May 30 $240 −$236 -98%
Map Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+1.5) May 29 $687 +$967 +141%
ITF Kayseri: Ksenia Smirnova vs Elizaveta Gurianova May 29 $74 +$48 +65%
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winner May 28 $1,525 +$1,038 +68%
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 Winner May 28 $1,196 −$1,170 -98%
Putintseva vs. Osorio: Match O/U 22.5 May 28 $0 +$15 +9612%
Kokkinakis vs. Busta: Match O/U 40.5 May 28 $187 +$13 +7%
Will Ireland win? May 28 $3,106 −$29 -1%
Radu Albot vs. Timofey Skatov: Total Sets O/U 2.5 May 28 $1 −$1 -97%
Thanasi Kokkinakis vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5 May 27 $0 +$2 +4756%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $938 −$915 -98%
Yulia Starodubtseva vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5 May 27 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: SAW vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner May 27 $338 −$333 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% +$18,664
other 16% −$6,760
world 0% −$29
finance 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 80¢ $164 17m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 80¢ $640 17m
Set 1 Winner: Taborda vs Rivera BUY Taborda $26 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 72¢ $23 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 70¢ $45 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 36¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 36¢ $3 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 71¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 71¢ $14 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $54 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $22 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $18 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $11 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $22 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $22 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $13 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $16 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $73 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $22 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 51¢ $39 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 44¢ $47 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 52¢ $1,610 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes $4 2h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 100¢ $1,325 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 39¢ $40 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 39¢ $139 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 36¢ $4 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 36¢ $6 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 36¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+47.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -5.5% -14.5% 58% 50% +26.4%
≤30d 106 +40.2% +26.8% 44% 38% -3.6%
≤90d 311 +62.7% +47.2% 52% 47% -5.0%
all 311 +62.7% +47.2% 52% 47% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.9 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +47.2% 47% -5.0%
10% ← realistic here +33.1% 40% -14.1%
15% +20.2% 34% -22.4%
20% +8.4% 29% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,901.89 · official $3,901.89 (match) · 997 history records