Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T14:14:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xeda9…d0a2 crypto 650 markets active 0h ago coverage 80d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$201 (+10%) realized +$201 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate51%330W / 320L
Drawdown50%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day9.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$69
7 days−$16
14 days−$19
30 days+$167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$182
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 -3.4% -12.6% 50% 47% -12.3%
≤30d 546 -6.3% -15.2% 49% 47% -0.4%
≤90d 650 -6.7% -15.6% 51% 46% -0.8%
all 650 -6.7% -15.6% 51% 46% -0.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.6% 46% -0.8%
10% -23.7% 42% -10.3%
15% -31.1% 40% -19.0%
20% -37.8% 38% -26.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +10% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt +10% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.2 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.24 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

80d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$201
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses330 / 320
Open positions0
Markets (closed)650 / 650
History coverage80d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 650 Trades
no open positions (290 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 23 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 23 $3 +$4 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 23 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 23 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 23 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 23 $16 +$22 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 23 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 23 $3 +$4 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 23 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 23 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 1137 history records