Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:04:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xedae…dddd
sports · 188 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$151 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$125 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized+$125
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses129 / 56
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions3
Markets (closed)185 / 188
History coverage236d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 3 History 185 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$48
7 days−$61
14 days+$2
30 days+$138
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 49¢ 26¢ $19 $10 −$9 (-45%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 62¢ 68¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $6 +$2 +40%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $15 +$6 +38%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $2 $0 -3%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$2 -44%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $5 −$2 -39%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $2 $0 -19%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $21 −$3 -14%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $18 +$17 +94%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +99%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$5 +75%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $46 +$23 +49%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Mast Jun 12 $6 −$1 -19%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $4 +$3 +62%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $2 +$1 +28%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $4 +$2 +40%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 07 $15 +$4 +25%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $8 −$8 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $10 −$6 -60%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 07 $12 −$6 -53%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 07 $2 $0 +18%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $6 $0 -2%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 07 $1 $0 +7%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 07 $10 $0 +2%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $76 −$8 -10%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $11 −$9 -84%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $58 −$51 -87%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $10 +$1 +14%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $3 +$1 +34%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $3 −$3 -89%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $20 +$8 +42%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2 +$1 +56%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $50 +$2 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$110
other 4% +$9
crypto 4% −$3
tech 3% $0
politics 1% +$3
world 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 39¢ $3 32m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 38¢ $3 32m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 34¢ $3 49m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 79¢ $15 58m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 55¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 55¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $3 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 31¢ $1 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 61¢ $5 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 67¢ $5 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 62¢ $5 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 83¢ $10 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 83¢ $11 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 57¢ $5 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 60¢ $5 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 6¢ $0 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 14¢ $1 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 54¢ $2 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 34¢ $1 7h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 61¢ $5 20h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 68¢ $10 20h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 7¢ $1 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 29¢ $3 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 25¢ $1 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Team WE 16¢ $1 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 15¢ $1 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 37¢ $2 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Team WE 23¢ $1 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 21¢ $1 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -22.5% -29.8% 45% 32% -22.3%
≤30d 131 +14.6% +3.7% 75% 60% -1.1%
≤90d 157 +9.1% -1.3% 72% 57% -4.0%
all 185 +6.2% -3.9% 70% 54% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.9% 54% -4.0%
10% -13.1% 39% -13.2%
15% -21.5% 24% -21.6%
20% -29.2% 14% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.81 · official $15.81 (match) · 714 history records