trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +3.2% | -6.7% | 100% | 0% | -6.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 80% | 40% | -12.2% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -31.9% | -38.4% | 57% | 29% | -39.5% |
| all | 7 | -31.9% | -38.4% | 57% | 29% | -39.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -38.4% | 29% | -39.5% |
| 10% | -44.3% | 14% | -45.3% |
| 15% | -49.7% | 14% | -50.6% |
| 20% | -54.6% | 0% | -55.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Jun 19 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 10 | $75 | +$36 | +49% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamen | Jun 02 | $50 | +$8 | +17% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $3 | $0 | +8% |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | May 27 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? | May 20 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 13 | $33 | −$32 | -97% |